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15 posts
Hinge of history
Time of perils
5 posts
Inside vs. outside view
Philip Tetlock
191
All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
Holden Karnofsky
1y
46
162
Thoughts on whether we're living at the most influential time in history
Buck
2y
65
61
Biblical advice for people with short AI timelines
Kirsten
1y
23
70
Call to Vigilance
Holden Karnofsky
1y
4
208
Are we living at the most influential time in history?
William_MacAskill
3y
147
14
The Most Important Century Is Not Unlikely
Maxwell Tabarrok
4mo
0
52
The most important century and the representativeness of EA
Luke Eure
1y
10
40
How to make the best of the most important century?
Holden Karnofsky
1y
5
54
The emerging school of patient longtermism
80000_Hours
2y
11
22
The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
1
How Important Is This Century For Humanity?
Miguel
1mo
0
6
Grappling With The Hinge Of History Part 1: What It Means And Why I Care
Matt Goldwater
8mo
0
18
Best time-travel intervention?
abramdemski
2y
3
13
A Toy Model of Hingeyness
Bob Jacobs
2y
7
165
Taboo "Outside View"
kokotajlod
1y
26
13
Philip Tetlock: Fireside chat
EA Global
2y
1
18
Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters
Evan_Gaensbauer
4y
4
4
Meat substitutes: outside view
JuanGarcia
1y
1
5
Superforecasters [link]
RyanCarey
7y
0