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meritocratic
regular
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alive
33 posts
Fermi estimate
Risk aversion
Philanthropic diversification
Moral offsetting
Meat-eater problem
5 posts
Model uncertainty
Sequence vs. cluster thinking
170
Clarifications on diminishing returns and risk aversion in giving
Robert_Wiblin
25d
25
15
How Many Lives Does X-Risk Work Save From Nonexistence On Average?
Jordan Arel
12d
10
17
Simple BOTEC on X-Risk Work for Neartermists
Phosphorous
18d
10
47
Guesstimate Algorithm for Medical Research
Elizabeth
2mo
2
91
Meat Externalities
Richard Y Chappell
5mo
12
44
Introduction to Fermi estimates
NunoSempere
3mo
5
54
Concerns with Difference-Making Risk Aversion
Charlotte
6mo
1
12
How much donations are needed to neutralise the annual x-risk footprint of the mean human?
Vasco Grilo
2mo
2
17
Are poultry birds really important? Yes...
Vasco Grilo
6mo
2
11
“How many people might ever exist, calculated” by Primer [Video]
Ezra Newman
4mo
0
73
Hedging against deep and moral uncertainty
MichaelStJules
2y
11
24
Post on maximizing EV by diversifying w/ declining marginal returns and uncertainty
Alexander_Berger
1y
11
25
Covid offsets and carbon offsets
Ben
2y
2
18
An inner debate on risk aversion and systemic change
AndrewDoris
1y
6
106
EAs underestimate uncertainty in cause prioritisation
freedomandutility
3mo
20
42
Why does GiveWell not provide lower and upper estimates for the cost-effectiveness of its top charities?
Vasco Grilo
4mo
8
23
My notes on: Sequence thinking vs. cluster thinking
Vasco Grilo
6mo
0
3
Sequence thinking vs. cluster thinking
GiveWell
6y
0
-7
Refuting longtermism with Fermat's Last Theorem
astupple
4mo
32