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14 posts
Epistemology
9 posts
Bayesian epistemology
Bayes' Theorem
158
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
107
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
239
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
97
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
27
Where can I find good criticisms of EA made by non-EAs?
oh54321
6mo
5
20
Red teaming a model for estimating the value of longtermist interventions - A critique of Tarsney's "The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism"
Anjay F
5mo
0
23
A thinking tool for whether X causes Y
Ben Stewart
8mo
0
6
LW4EA: Epistemic Legibility
Jeremy
4mo
2
26
Epistemic Trade: A quick proof sketch with one example
Linch
1y
2
16
"Epistemic maps" for AI Debates? (or for other issues)
Harrison Durland
1y
8
16
Matsés - Are languages providing epistemic certainty of statements not of the interest of the EA community?
mikbp
1y
13
2
What important truth do very few people agree with you on?
Tomer_Goloboy
6mo
3
18
An epistemology for effective altruism?
Benjamin_Todd
8y
19
-5
Multi-Factor Decision Making Math
Elliot Temple
1mo
13
45
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
29
The Geometric Expectation
Scott Garrabrant
27d
0
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
105
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
19
Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It
FCCC
9mo
5
32
How modest should you be?
John G. Halstead
1y
10
4
Bayes' Theorem explained
Tomer_Goloboy
8mo
1
12
Against Modest Epistemology
EliezerYudkowsky
5y
11
-5
Bayes' rule: Guide
EA Handbook
5mo
0