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20 posts
Hinge of history
Inside vs. outside view
Time of perils
Philip Tetlock
25 posts
Systemic change
Holden Karnofsky
Value lock-in
Nonprofit governance
SPC framework
Innovations for Poverty Action
Urgent Longtermism
Alternatives to expected value theory
206
All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
Holden Karnofsky
1y
46
175
Taboo "Outside View"
kokotajlod
1y
26
1
How Important Is This Century For Humanity?
Miguel
1mo
0
179
Thoughts on whether we're living at the most influential time in history
Buck
2y
65
64
Biblical advice for people with short AI timelines
Kirsten
1y
23
12
The Most Important Century Is Not Unlikely
Maxwell Tabarrok
4mo
0
69
Call to Vigilance
Holden Karnofsky
1y
4
193
Are we living at the most influential time in history?
William_MacAskill
3y
147
41
The most important century and the representativeness of EA
Luke Eure
1y
10
48
How to make the best of the most important century?
Holden Karnofsky
1y
5
64
The emerging school of patient longtermism
80000_Hours
2y
11
19
The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
5
Grappling With The Hinge Of History Part 1: What It Means And Why I Care
Matt Goldwater
8mo
0
11
A Toy Model of Hingeyness
Bob Jacobs
2y
7
84
[Link Post] If We Don’t End Factory Farming Soon, It Might Be Here Forever.
BrianK
13d
13
106
Introducing the EA Good Governance Project
Grayden
2mo
4
86
Don't leave your fingerprints on the future
So8res
2mo
4
63
Odds of recovering values after collapse?
Will Aldred
4mo
13
4
Questions about Value Lock-in, Paternalism, and Empowerment
Sam Brown
1mo
0
50
The Most Important Century: The Animation
Writer
4mo
8
71
The Wicked Problem Experience
Holden Karnofsky
9mo
9
6
Will Values and Competition Decouple?
interstice
2mo
0
84
New blog: Cold Takes
Holden Karnofsky
1y
17
48
Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces
Holden Karnofsky
1y
176
42
Weak point in "most important century": lock-in
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
14
H-Day, a case study in coordinated change
EdoArad
8mo
0
0
Values lock-in is already happening (without AGI)
3mo
1
29
Complexity and the Search for Leverage
Naryan
1y
9