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meritocratic
regular
democratic
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alive
22 posts
Statistics
3 posts
Optimizer's curse
244
List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
3y
30
218
Reality is often underpowered
Gregory Lewis
3y
17
48
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
40
[Stats4EA] Expectations are not Outcomes
matthewp
2y
5
28
Take care with notation for uncertain quantities
Gregory Lewis
2y
2
28
Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects
Peter Wildeford
6y
3
26
Estimating value from pairwise comparisons
Jonas Moss
2mo
3
24
Turning percentages back into people: personalizing quantification
sky
2y
0
21
How accurately does anyone know the global distribution of income?
Robert_Wiblin
5y
30
21
[Stats4EA] Uncertain Probabilities
matthewp
2y
7
20
How to Understand and Mitigate Risk (Crosspost from LessWrong)
Halffull
3y
7
19
A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics
Jonas Moss
2mo
5
17
Expected value estimates you can take (somewhat) literally
Gregory Lewis
8y
24
15
Political Science Quantitative Methods and EA
Mahendra Prasad
3mo
1
87
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
3y
61
41
Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
7
22
The Multi-Class Optimizer's Curse
FeelingSentient
1y
0