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alive
6 posts
Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute
8 posts
Squiggle
Risk assessment
Geomagnetic storms
Natural existential risk
97
Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence
Ozzie Gooen
1y
34
95
Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires
NunoSempere
2mo
65
70
$1,000 Squiggle Experimentation Challenge
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
5
53
Simple comparison polling to create utility functions
NunoSempere
1y
13
29
Building Blocks of Utility Maximization
NunoSempere
1y
3
14
Value of Infomation, an example with GiveDirectly
Hazelfire
3mo
1
145
Announcing Squiggle: Early Access
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
11
77
Announcing Squigglepy, a Python package for Squiggle
Peter Wildeford
2mo
8
61
Simple estimation examples in Squiggle
NunoSempere
3mo
13
41
Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.
NunoSempere
2mo
0
33
Adding Quantified Uncertainty to GiveWell's Cost Effectiveness Analysis of the Against Malaria Foundation
Tanae
3mo
6
25
What is estimational programming? Squiggle in context
quinn
4mo
0
20
[Squiggle Experimentation Challenge] CEA LEEP Malawi
drwahl
3mo
7
12
Cosmic rays could cause major electronic disruption and pose a small existential risk
M_Allcock
4mo
0