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regular
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alive
33 posts
International relations
Armed conflict
Great power conflict
32 posts
Russia
Ukraine
Movement collapse
158
EA on nuclear war and expertise
bean
3mo
17
132
How likely is World War III?
Stephen Clare
10mo
20
127
Modelling Great Power conflict as an existential risk factor
Stephen Clare
10mo
26
126
How bad could a war get?
Stephen Clare
1mo
10
103
Why those who care about catastrophic and existential risk should care about autonomous weapons
aaguirre
2y
31
95
[Links post] Economists Chris Blattman and Noah Smith on China, Taiwan, and the likelihood of war
Stephen Clare
1mo
1
77
The Pugwash Conferences and the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty as a case study of Track II diplomacy
rani_martin
3mo
5
66
Preventing a US-China war as a policy priority
Matthew_Barnett
6mo
22
66
Final Report of the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence (NSCAI, 2021)
MichaelA
1y
3
44
What's the big deal about hypersonic missiles?
jia
2y
8
39
International Cooperation Against Existential Risks: Insights from International Relations Theory
Jenny_Xiao
1y
7
36
Notes on "The Myth of the Nuclear Revolution" (Lieber & Press, 2020)
Darius_M
7mo
3
35
Sixty years after the Cuban Missile Crisis, a new era of global catastrophic risks
christian.r
2mo
0
34
Why Don’t We Use Chemical Weapons Anymore?
Dale
2y
4
274
Samotsvety Nuclear Risk update October 2022
NunoSempere
2mo
52
164
PSA: if you are in Russia, probably move out ASAP
anon_acct
9mo
5
113
What are effective ways to help Ukrainians right now?
Manuel Allgaier
9mo
91
101
Let Russians go abroad
Viktoria Malyasova
9mo
17
72
Notes on 'Atomic Obsession' (2009)
lukeprog
3y
16
70
Early Reflections and Resources on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
SethBaum
9mo
3
60
900+ Forecasters on Whether Russia Will Invade Ukraine
Metaculus
10mo
2
49
Atlantic article on effective Ukraine aid
iporphyry
8mo
1
46
Ukraine: How a regular person can effectively help their country during war?
Valmothy
9mo
18
44
Nuclear attack risk? Implications for personal decision-making
SebastianSchmidt
9mo
38
33
Ukraine: can we talk to the Russian soldiers?
DPiepgrass
9mo
5
29
What is the impact of the Nuclear Ban Treaty?
DonyChristie
2y
3
26
Rough attempt to profile charities which support Ukrainian war relief in terms of their cost-effectiveness.
Michael
9mo
5
19
Announcing Metaculus's 'Red Lines in Ukraine' Forecasting Project
christian
2mo
0