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14 posts
Epistemology
9 posts
Bayesian epistemology
Bayes' Theorem
208
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
160
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
98
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
85
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
26
Where can I find good criticisms of EA made by non-EAs?
oh54321
6mo
5
22
A thinking tool for whether X causes Y
Ben Stewart
8mo
0
21
Red teaming a model for estimating the value of longtermist interventions - A critique of Tarsney's "The Epistemic Challenge to Longtermism"
Anjay F
5mo
0
19
Epistemic Trade: A quick proof sketch with one example
Linch
1y
2
18
An epistemology for effective altruism?
Benjamin_Todd
8y
19
15
Matsés - Are languages providing epistemic certainty of statements not of the interest of the EA community?
mikbp
1y
13
14
"Epistemic maps" for AI Debates? (or for other issues)
Harrison Durland
1y
8
5
LW4EA: Epistemic Legibility
Jeremy
4mo
2
3
What important truth do very few people agree with you on?
Tomer_Goloboy
6mo
3
1
Multi-Factor Decision Making Math
Elliot Temple
1mo
13
97
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
41
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
24
How modest should you be?
John G. Halstead
1y
10
24
The Geometric Expectation
Scott Garrabrant
27d
0
15
Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It
FCCC
9mo
5
12
Against Modest Epistemology
EliezerYudkowsky
5y
11
4
Bayes' Theorem explained
Tomer_Goloboy
8mo
1
4
Bayes' rule: Guide
EA Handbook
5mo
0