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meritocratic
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121 posts
Anthropics
46 posts
Sleeping Beauty Paradox
13
all claw, no world — and other thoughts on the universal distribution
carado
6d
0
25
The Mirror Chamber: A short story exploring the anthropic measure function and why it can matter
mako yass
1mo
13
27
The table of different sampling assumptions in anthropics
avturchin
5mo
3
27
Why don't we think we're in the simplest universe with intelligent life?
ADifferentAnonymous
6mo
32
46
Anthropics and the Universal Distribution
Joe Carlsmith
1y
11
6
How does anthropic reasoning and illusionism/eliminitivism interact?
Shiroe
2mo
18
31
We need a theory of anthropic measure binding
mako yass
11mo
42
37
The Simulation Hypothesis Undercuts the SIA/Great Filter Doomsday Argument
Mark Xu
1y
10
20
Primitive Perspectives and Sleeping Beauty
dadadarren
8mo
3
32
On the Universal Distribution
Joe Carlsmith
1y
4
27
SIA > SSA, part 2: Telekinesis, reference classes, and other scandals
Joe Carlsmith
1y
1
20
SIA > SSA, part 4: In defense of the presumptuous philosopher
Joe Carlsmith
1y
20
19
SIA > SSA, part 3: An aside on betting in anthropics
Joe Carlsmith
1y
1
12
The First Person And The Physical Person
dadadarren
11mo
11
29
The First-Person Perspective Is Not A Random Sample
dadadarren
9mo
25
44
SIA > SSA, part 1: Learning from the fact that you exist
Joe Carlsmith
1y
17
40
Are coincidences clues about missed disasters? It depends on your answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem.
Harlan
1y
5
33
Anthropics: different probabilities, different questions
Stuart_Armstrong
1y
10
24
A Simplified Version of Perspective Solution to the Sleeping Beauty Problem
dadadarren
1y
40
17
SIA is basically just Bayesian updating on existence
Stuart_Armstrong
1y
8
12
Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs
Stuart_Armstrong
1y
2
11
Absent-Minded Driver and Self-Locating Probabilities
dadadarren
1y
16
19
Anthropic Reasoning and Perspective-Based Arguments
dadadarren
2y
59
6
Full Non-Indexical Conditioning Also Assumes A Self Sampling Process.
dadadarren
10mo
2
119
If a tree falls on Sleeping Beauty...
ata
12y
28
33
Probability is a model, frequency is an observation: Why both halfers and thirders are correct in the Sleeping Beauty problem.
shminux
4y
34
8
The Validity of Self-Locating Probabilities
dadadarren
1y
42
7
The Validity of Self-Locating Probabilities (Pt. 2)
dadadarren
1y
16