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alive
16 posts
Myopia
12 posts
Self Fulfilling/Refuting Prophecies
Luck
91
The Credit Assignment Problem
abramdemski
3y
40
58
Partial Agency
abramdemski
3y
18
57
Open Problems with Myopia
Mark Xu
1y
16
56
Arguments against myopic training
Richard_Ngo
2y
39
55
Why GPT wants to mesa-optimize & how we might change this
John_Maxwell
2y
32
55
AI safety via market making
evhub
2y
45
50
LCDT, A Myopic Decision Theory
adamShimi
1y
51
44
Towards a mechanistic understanding of corrigibility
evhub
3y
26
43
Acceptability Verification: A Research Agenda
David Udell
5mo
0
38
Bayesian Evolving-to-Extinction
abramdemski
2y
13
37
Steering Behaviour: Testing for (Non-)Myopia in Language Models
Evan R. Murphy
15d
16
32
Defining Myopia
abramdemski
3y
18
28
Evan Hubinger on Homogeneity in Takeoff Speeds, Learned Optimization and Interpretability
Michaƫl Trazzi
1y
0
16
The Dualist Predict-O-Matic ($100 prize)
John_Maxwell
3y
35
144
Self-fulfilling correlations
PhilGoetz
12y
50
38
Fifty Shades of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
PhilGoetz
8y
87
33
An example of self-fulfilling spurious proofs in UDT
cousin_it
10y
43
31
Random Thoughts on Predict-O-Matic
abramdemski
3y
3
29
Self-Supervised Learning and AGI Safety
Steven Byrnes
3y
9
25
Do the 'unlucky' systematically underestimate high-variance strategies?
MBlume
13y
5
16
Encouragement to Instill Confidence?
Zvi
10mo
5
14
Self-Fulfilling Prophecies Aren't Always About Self-Awareness
John_Maxwell
3y
7
12
Omega and self-fulfilling prophecies
RichardKennaway
11y
19
10
Luck II: Expecting White Swans
fowlertm
9y
87
1
Self-fulfilling values of time
KatjaGrace
5y
0
-3
Can chess be a game of luck?
Rune
13y
44