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Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
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Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
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History of Rationality
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VNM Theorem
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5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
132
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
28
[AN #112]: Engineering a Safer World
Rohin Shah
2y
2
5
The Alignment Newsletter #4: 04/30/18
Rohin Shah
4y
0
19
Alignment Newsletter #21
Rohin Shah
4y
0
15
Alignment Newsletter #42
Rohin Shah
3y
1
9
Alignment Newsletter #28
Rohin Shah
4y
0
22
[AN #81]: Universality as a potential solution to conceptual difficulties in intent alignment
Rohin Shah
2y
4
82
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
14
[AN #56] Should ML researchers stop running experiments before making hypotheses?
Rohin Shah
3y
8
5
The Alignment Newsletter #7: 05/21/18
Rohin Shah
4y
0
14
Alignment Newsletter #44
Rohin Shah
3y
0
8
Asymptotic Logical Uncertainty: Concrete Failure of the Solomonoff Approach
Scott Garrabrant
7y
0
3
Logical Inductors that trust their limits
Scott Garrabrant
6y
0
3
The set of Logical Inductors is not Convex
Scott Garrabrant
6y
0
15
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5
38
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
24
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
22
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
154
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47