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Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Postmortems & Retrospectives
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
Physics
History of Rationality
Productivity
VNM Theorem
Gaming (videogames/tabletop)
5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
132
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
146
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 1
Quintin Pope
3mo
5
72
QAPR 4: Inductive biases
Quintin Pope
2mo
2
69
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 2
Quintin Pope
3mo
2
35
[MLSN #6]: Transparency survey, provable robustness, ML models that predict the future
Dan H
2mo
0
7
Brute-forcing the universe: a non-standard shot at diamond alignment
Martín Soto
28d
0
97
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
40
[AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Rohin Shah
1y
5
82
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
95
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
62
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
80
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
15
[AN #170]: Analyzing the argument for risk from power-seeking AI
Rohin Shah
1y
1
80
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
154
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
38
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
24
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
22
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
15
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5