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121 posts
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Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Postmortems & Retrospectives
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
Physics
History of Rationality
Productivity
VNM Theorem
Gaming (videogames/tabletop)
5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
124
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
119
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 1
Quintin Pope
3mo
5
63
QAPR 4: Inductive biases
Quintin Pope
2mo
2
60
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 2
Quintin Pope
3mo
2
26
[MLSN #6]: Transparency survey, provable robustness, ML models that predict the future
Dan H
2mo
0
6
Brute-forcing the universe: a non-standard shot at diamond alignment
Martín Soto
28d
0
115
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
52
[AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Rohin Shah
1y
5
93
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
21
[AN #170]: Analyzing the argument for risk from power-seeking AI
Rohin Shah
1y
1
73
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
89
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
47
Relating HCH and Logical Induction
abramdemski
2y
4
46
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
52
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
23
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
23
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
14
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5