Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
121 posts
Newsletters
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Postmortems & Retrospectives
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
Physics
History of Rationality
Productivity
VNM Theorem
Gaming (videogames/tabletop)
5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
116
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
92
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 1
Quintin Pope
3mo
5
54
QAPR 4: Inductive biases
Quintin Pope
2mo
2
51
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 2
Quintin Pope
3mo
2
17
[MLSN #6]: Transparency survey, provable robustness, ML models that predict the future
Dan H
2mo
0
5
Brute-forcing the universe: a non-standard shot at diamond alignment
Martín Soto
28d
0
133
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
64
[AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Rohin Shah
1y
5
27
[AN #170]: Analyzing the argument for risk from power-seeking AI
Rohin Shah
1y
1
104
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
62
Relating HCH and Logical Induction
abramdemski
2y
4
60
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
84
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
25
[AN #167]: Concrete ML safety problems and their relevance to x-risk
Rohin Shah
1y
4
164
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
66
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
24
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
22
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
13
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5