Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
121 posts
Newsletters
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Postmortems & Retrospectives
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
Physics
History of Rationality
Productivity
VNM Theorem
Gaming (videogames/tabletop)
5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
133
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
116
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
104
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
95
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
92
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 1
Quintin Pope
3mo
5
90
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
88
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
84
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
83
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
80
Alignment Newsletter #13: 07/02/18
Rohin Shah
4y
12
64
[AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Rohin Shah
1y
5
62
Relating HCH and Logical Induction
abramdemski
2y
4
60
Radical Probabilism [Transcript]
abramdemski
2y
12
55
[AN #59] How arguments for AI risk have changed over time
Rohin Shah
3y
4
164
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
66
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
24
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
22
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
13
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5