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121 posts
Newsletters
Logical Induction
Logical Uncertainty
Postmortems & Retrospectives
Gears-Level
Inside/Outside View
Bayesian Decision Theory
Physics
History of Rationality
Productivity
VNM Theorem
Gaming (videogames/tabletop)
5 posts
Bayes' Theorem
Radical Probabilism
Betting
Probability & Statistics
Kelly Criterion
Probabilistic Reasoning
Prediction Markets
Conservation of Expected Evidence
124
Logical induction for software engineers
Alex Flint
17d
2
119
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 1
Quintin Pope
3mo
5
115
An Intuitive Guide to Garrabrant Induction
Mark Xu
1y
18
93
Alignment Newsletter One Year Retrospective
Rohin Shah
3y
31
89
History of the Development of Logical Induction
Scott Garrabrant
4y
4
85
In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
abramdemski
4y
8
84
Toward a New Technical Explanation of Technical Explanation
abramdemski
4y
36
78
Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You
Scott Garrabrant
4y
22
73
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction
johnswentworth
3y
0
70
Alignment Newsletter #13: 07/02/18
Rohin Shah
4y
12
63
QAPR 4: Inductive biases
Quintin Pope
2mo
2
60
Quintin's alignment papers roundup - week 2
Quintin Pope
3mo
2
52
[AN #166]: Is it crazy to claim we're in the most important century?
Rohin Shah
1y
5
47
Relating HCH and Logical Induction
abramdemski
2y
4
159
Radical Probabilism
abramdemski
2y
47
52
Of arguments and wagers
paulfchristiano
2y
6
23
Latent Variables and Model Mis-Specification
jsteinhardt
4y
7
23
Kelly bettors
DanielFilan
4y
3
14
Generalized Kelly betting
Linda Linsefors
4y
5