Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic regular democratic
hot top alive
6 posts Arb Expertise Apollo Academic Surveys
16 posts Prediction markets Manifold Markets
29 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
173 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
25 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
46 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
25 Why and how to assess expertise
tyleralterman
6y
28
60 Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
24 Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
65 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
10 Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
15 Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
11 Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
2 Can You Predict Who Will Win OpenPhil's Cause Exploration Prize? Bet on it!
Nathan Young
3mo
1
9 Flagging up a 'prediction market'
Forumite
5mo
1
5 An attempt to promote prediction markets
Timothy_Liptrot
7mo
3
33 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
14 Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
49 Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
33 Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
18 Comparing Superforecasting and the Intelligence Community Prediction Market
LuisEUrtubey
8mo
0
19 Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0