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6 posts Arb Expertise Apollo Academic Surveys
16 posts Prediction markets Manifold Markets
173 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
60 Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
46 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
29 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
25 Why and how to assess expertise
tyleralterman
6y
28
25 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
65 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
49 Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
33 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
33 Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
30 Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
24 Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
19 Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0
18 Comparing Superforecasting and the Intelligence Community Prediction Market
LuisEUrtubey
8mo
0
15 Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
14 Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
11 Prediction Markets For Credit?
AllAmericanBreakfast
9mo
2
11 Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
10 Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
9 Flagging up a 'prediction market'
Forumite
5mo
1