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22 posts Prediction markets Arb Expertise Manifold Markets Apollo Academic Surveys
6 posts Research Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
173 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
65 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
60 Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
49 Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
46 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
33 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
33 Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
30 Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
29 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
25 Why and how to assess expertise
tyleralterman
6y
28
25 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
24 Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
19 Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0
18 Comparing Superforecasting and the Intelligence Community Prediction Market
LuisEUrtubey
8mo
0
102 Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
98 Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
82 Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
48 Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2
27 [Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
12 A part of the system's apology
Niv Cohen
3mo
0