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22 posts Prediction markets Arb Expertise Manifold Markets Apollo Academic Surveys
6 posts Research Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
187 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
97 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
88 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
70 Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
69 Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
46 Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
41 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
39 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
37 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
32 Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
31 Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
28 Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
26 Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
21 Prediction Markets For Credit?
AllAmericanBreakfast
9mo
2
136 Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
126 Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
106 Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
40 Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2
33 [Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
2 A part of the system's apology
Niv Cohen
3mo
0