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22 posts Prediction markets Arb Expertise Manifold Markets Apollo Academic Surveys
6 posts Research Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
32 Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
97 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
26 Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
39 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
15 Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
187 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
41 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
88 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
15 Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
8 Can You Predict Who Will Win OpenPhil's Cause Exploration Prize? Bet on it!
Nathan Young
3mo
1
-3 Flagging up a 'prediction market'
Forumite
5mo
1
7 An attempt to promote prediction markets
Timothy_Liptrot
7mo
3
37 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
28 Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
136 Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
106 Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
33 [Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
126 Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
40 Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2
2 A part of the system's apology
Niv Cohen
3mo
0