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22 posts
Prediction markets
Arb
Expertise
Manifold Markets
Apollo Academic Surveys
6 posts
Research
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
28
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
81
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
18
Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
34
Questions about and Objections to 'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
180
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
33
Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
67
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
13
Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
5
Can You Predict Who Will Win OpenPhil's Cause Exploration Prize? Bet on it!
Nathan Young
3mo
1
3
Flagging up a 'prediction market'
Forumite
5mo
1
6
An attempt to promote prediction markets
Timothy_Liptrot
7mo
3
35
Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
21
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
119
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
102
Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
30
[Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
104
Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
44
Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2
7
A part of the system's apology
Niv Cohen
3mo
0