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22 posts
Prediction markets
Arb
Expertise
Manifold Markets
Apollo Academic Surveys
6 posts
Research
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
34
Questions about and Objections to 'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
33
Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
180
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
28
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
67
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
21
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
65
Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
18
Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
81
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
13
Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
35
Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
59
Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
13
Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0
119
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
102
Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
104
Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
30
[Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
7
A part of the system's apology
Niv Cohen
3mo
0
44
Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2