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28 posts
Prediction markets
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Manifold Markets
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Apollo Academic Surveys
20 posts
Newsletters
Weekly Summaries (project)
Future Matters
Effective Altruism Behavioral Science Newsletter
Asterisk
119
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
102
Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
34
Questions about and Objections to 'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
33
Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
180
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
28
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
67
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
104
Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
21
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
65
Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
30
[Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
18
Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
81
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
275
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
14
The EA Behavioral Science Newsletter #7 (December 2022)
PeterSlattery
5d
0
286
Introducing Asterisk
Clara Collier
6mo
33
35
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (17 - 23 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
2
23
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (24 - 30th Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
0
59
Future Matters #4: AI timelines, AGI risk, and existential risk from climate change
Pablo
4mo
0
24
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (26 Sep - 9 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
0
34
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (12 - 18 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
2
42
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28 Aug - 3 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
1
36
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (5 - 11 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
0
70
Future Matters #3: digital sentience, AGI ruin, and forecasting track records
Pablo
5mo
2
25
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (19 - 25 Sep 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
3
31
Future Matters #5: supervolcanoes, AI takeover, and What We Owe the Future
Pablo
3mo
5
51
Future Matters #2: Clueless skepticism, 'longtermist' as an identity, and nanotechnology strategy research
Pablo
6mo
0