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28 posts Prediction markets Research Arb Expertise Manifold Markets Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Apollo Academic Surveys
20 posts Newsletters Weekly Summaries (project) Future Matters Effective Altruism Behavioral Science Newsletter Asterisk
180 Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
119 Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
104 Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
102 Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
81 Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
67 The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
65 Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
59 Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
44 Research summary: A Meta-Review of Interventions that Influence Animal-Product Consumption
PeterSlattery
1y
2
38 Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
35 Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
34 Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
33 Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
32 Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
286 Introducing Asterisk
Clara Collier
6mo
33
275 Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
70 Future Matters #3: digital sentience, AGI ruin, and forecasting track records
Pablo
5mo
2
59 Future Matters #4: AI timelines, AGI risk, and existential risk from climate change
Pablo
4mo
0
57 Future Matters #1: AI takeoff, longtermism vs. existential risk, and probability discounting
Pablo
8mo
2
51 Future Matters #2: Clueless skepticism, 'longtermist' as an identity, and nanotechnology strategy research
Pablo
6mo
0
42 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28 Aug - 3 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
1
36 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (5 - 11 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
0
35 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (17 - 23 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
2
34 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (12 - 18 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
2
31 Future Matters #5: supervolcanoes, AI takeover, and What We Owe the Future
Pablo
3mo
5
28 List of EA-related email newsletters
Aaron Gertler
3y
14
25 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (19 - 25 Sep 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
3
24 EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (26 Sep - 9 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
0