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28 posts
Prediction markets
Research
Arb
Expertise
Manifold Markets
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Apollo Academic Surveys
20 posts
Newsletters
Weekly Summaries (project)
Future Matters
Effective Altruism Behavioral Science Newsletter
Asterisk
102
Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia
David Roodman
25d
24
98
Finding before funding: Why EA should probably invest more in research
Falk Lieder
4mo
11
173
Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin
9mo
39
29
Questions about and Objections to 'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
3
24
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
25
Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers
2mo
1
82
Features that make a report especially helpful to me
lukeprog
8mo
1
46
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
5mo
2
60
Apollo Academic Surveys
Chris Said
7mo
2
27
[Cause Exploration Prizes] Social and Behavioral Science R&D
Anna Harvey
4mo
2
14
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
65
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
33
Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
243
Announcing the first issue of Asterisk
Clara Collier
29d
47
13
The EA Behavioral Science Newsletter #7 (December 2022)
PeterSlattery
5d
0
310
Introducing Asterisk
Clara Collier
6mo
33
27
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (17 - 23 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
2
23
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (24 - 30th Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
1mo
0
31
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (26 Sep - 9 Oct 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
0
72
Future Matters #3: digital sentience, AGI ruin, and forecasting track records
Pablo
5mo
2
38
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (28 Aug - 3 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
1
32
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (12 - 18 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
2
32
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (5 - 11 Sep 22’)
Zoe Williams
3mo
0
37
Future Matters #4: AI timelines, AGI risk, and existential risk from climate change
Pablo
4mo
0
24
Future Matters #5: supervolcanoes, AI takeover, and What We Owe the Future
Pablo
3mo
5
20
EA & LW Forums Weekly Summary (19 - 25 Sep 22')
Zoe Williams
2mo
3
50
Future Matters #1: AI takeoff, longtermism vs. existential risk, and probability discounting
Pablo
8mo
2