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alive
25 posts
Statistics
Optimizer's curse
23 posts
Epistemology
Bayesian epistemology
Bayes' Theorem
84
Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading
Lorenzo Buonanno
5mo
52
41
A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics
Jonas Moss
2mo
5
42
Estimating value from pairwise comparisons
Jonas Moss
2mo
3
164
List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading
saulius
3y
30
9
Political Science Quantitative Methods and EA
Mahendra Prasad
3mo
1
63
Don't Over-Optimize Things
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
7
8
Eva Vivalt: Global poverty II
EA Global
7y
0
14
How to Understand and Mitigate Risk (Crosspost from LessWrong)
Halffull
3y
7
50
Take care with notation for uncertain quantities
Gregory Lewis
2y
2
24
The Multi-Class Optimizer's Curse
FeelingSentient
1y
0
23
How accurately does anyone know the global distribution of income?
Robert_Wiblin
5y
30
8
Eva Vivalt: Choosing effective causes in a radically uncertain world
EA Global
2y
0
81
[Link] The Optimizer's Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions
Chris Smith
3y
61
2
Estimating long-term treatment effects without long-term outcome data
Global Priorities Institute
2y
0
-5
Multi-Factor Decision Making Math
Elliot Temple
1mo
13
45
Tyranny of the Epistemic Majority
Scott Garrabrant
28d
2
107
Limits to Legibility
Jan_Kulveit
5mo
3
6
LW4EA: Epistemic Legibility
Jeremy
4mo
2
16
"Epistemic maps" for AI Debates? (or for other issues)
Harrison Durland
1y
8
18
An epistemology for effective altruism?
Benjamin_Todd
8y
19
158
Global health is important for the epistemic foundations of EA, even for longtermists
Owen Cotton-Barratt
6mo
16
16
Matsés - Are languages providing epistemic certainty of statements not of the interest of the EA community?
mikbp
1y
13
72
Bayesian Mindset
Holden Karnofsky
12mo
19
97
Disagreeables and Assessors: Two Intellectual Archetypes
Ozzie Gooen
1y
20
239
Flimsy Pet Theories, Enormous Initiatives
Ozzie Gooen
1y
57
27
Where can I find good criticisms of EA made by non-EAs?
oh54321
6mo
5
105
Deference for Bayesians
John G. Halstead
1y
30
23
A thinking tool for whether X causes Y
Ben Stewart
8mo
0