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alive
62 posts
AI forecasting
23 posts
Paul Christiano
Eliezer Yudkowsky
AI takeoff
Epoch
Fund for Alignment Research (FAR)
32
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
0
67
AI Forecasting Research Ideas
Jaime Sevilla
1mo
1
64
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
mariushobbhahn
1mo
1
23
Have your timelines changed as a result of ChatGPT?
Chris Leong
15d
18
27
Biological Anchors external review by Jennifer Lin (linkpost)
peterhartree
20d
0
26
Discussing how to align Transformative AI if it’s developed very soon
elifland
22d
0
129
Samotsvety's AI risk forecasts
elifland
3mo
30
33
AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants
TD_Pilditch
1mo
0
41
Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting
christian
2mo
0
101
AI timelines via bioanchors: the debate in one place
Will Aldred
4mo
6
80
A concern about the “evolutionary anchor” of Ajeya Cotra’s report on AI timelines.
NunoSempere
4mo
43
21
How does one find out their AGI timelines?
Yadav
1mo
4
53
Roodman's Thoughts on Biological Anchors
lukeprog
3mo
7
79
2022 AI expert survey results
Zach Stein-Perlman
4mo
7
280
On Deference and Yudkowsky's AI Risk Estimates
Ben Garfinkel
6mo
188
184
Announcing Epoch: A research organization investigating the road to Transformative AI
Jaime Sevilla
5mo
11
18
Epoch is hiring a Research Data Analyst
merilalama
28d
0
73
Introducing the Fund for Alignment Research (We're Hiring!)
AdamGleave
5mo
3
54
MIRI announces new "Death With Dignity" strategy (Yudkowsky, 2022)
Will Aldred
5mo
0
36
Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People (Yudkowsky, 2007)
Will Aldred
4mo
1
49
Grokking “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines”
anson
6mo
1
43
Continuity Assumptions
Jan_Kulveit
6mo
4
31
MIRI Conversations: Technology Forecasting & Gradualism (Distillation)
TheMcDouglas
5mo
9
39
Grokking “Forecasting TAI with biological anchors”
anson
6mo
0
49
Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions
RobBensinger
1y
35
35
Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
EliezerYudkowsky
1y
0
33
Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
CarlShulman
1y
0
6
BERI, Epoch, and FAR will explain their work & current job openings online this Sunday
Rockwell
4mo
0