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alive
62 posts
AI forecasting
23 posts
Paul Christiano
Eliezer Yudkowsky
AI takeoff
Epoch
Fund for Alignment Research (FAR)
28
How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Tristan Cook
4d
0
37
Have your timelines changed as a result of ChatGPT?
Chris Leong
15d
18
92
Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines
mariushobbhahn
1mo
1
45
Biological Anchors external review by Jennifer Lin (linkpost)
peterhartree
20d
0
71
AI Forecasting Research Ideas
Jaime Sevilla
1mo
1
42
Discussing how to align Transformative AI if it’s developed very soon
elifland
22d
0
197
Samotsvety's AI risk forecasts
elifland
3mo
30
91
Roodman's Thoughts on Biological Anchors
lukeprog
3mo
7
95
2022 AI expert survey results
Zach Stein-Perlman
4mo
7
62
Forecasting thread: How does AI risk level vary based on timelines?
elifland
3mo
8
70
A concern about the “evolutionary anchor” of Ajeya Cotra’s report on AI timelines.
NunoSempere
4mo
43
23
AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants
TD_Pilditch
1mo
0
14
Cognitive science and failed AI forecasts
Eleni_A
1mo
0
73
Ajeya's TAI timeline shortened from 2050 to 2040
Zach Stein-Perlman
4mo
2
234
On Deference and Yudkowsky's AI Risk Estimates
Ben Garfinkel
6mo
188
24
Epoch is hiring a Research Data Analyst
merilalama
28d
0
180
Announcing Epoch: A research organization investigating the road to Transformative AI
Jaime Sevilla
5mo
11
75
Introducing the Fund for Alignment Research (We're Hiring!)
AdamGleave
5mo
3
71
Grokking “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines”
anson
6mo
1
47
Grokking “Forecasting TAI with biological anchors”
anson
6mo
0
41
Continuity Assumptions
Jan_Kulveit
6mo
4
71
Discussion with Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI interventions
RobBensinger
1y
35
23
MIRI Conversations: Technology Forecasting & Gradualism (Distillation)
TheMcDouglas
5mo
9
59
Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
CarlShulman
1y
0
16
Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People (Yudkowsky, 2007)
Will Aldred
4mo
1
49
Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss "Takeoff Speeds"
EliezerYudkowsky
1y
0
42
"Slower tech development" can be about ordering, gradualness, or distance from now
MichaelA
1y
3
8
BERI, Epoch, and FAR will explain their work & current job openings online this Sunday
Rockwell
4mo
0