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Manifold Markets
15 posts
Prediction markets
8
Can You Predict Who Will Win OpenPhil's Cause Exploration Prize? Bet on it!
Nathan Young
3mo
1
32
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
28
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
26
Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
97
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
37
Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
15
Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
69
Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
31
Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
46
Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
18
Comparing Superforecasting and the Intelligence Community Prediction Market
LuisEUrtubey
8mo
0
21
Prediction Markets For Credit?
AllAmericanBreakfast
9mo
2
7
Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0
7
An attempt to promote prediction markets
Timothy_Liptrot
7mo
3