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Manifold Markets
15 posts
Prediction markets
5
Can You Predict Who Will Win OpenPhil's Cause Exploration Prize? Bet on it!
Nathan Young
3mo
1
28
Prediction market does not imply causation
Lizka
2mo
19
21
Predict which posts will win the Criticism and Red Teaming Contest!
Austin
2mo
0
18
Forum ranking system prototype: Cause Prioritsation Contest posts ranked by prediction markets
Nathan Young
3mo
5
81
Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting
NunoSempere
11mo
15
15
Prediction Markets are Somewhat Overrated Within EA
Francis
3mo
4
13
Prediction Tournament: Who will win the Cause Exploration Prize?
Sinclair Chen
3mo
1
35
Manifold for Good: Bet on the future, for charity
Austin
7mo
0
59
Issues with Futarchy
Lizka
1y
8
13
Manifold Markets interview with Joel Becker
David Chee
5mo
0
32
Create a prediction market in two minutes on Manifold Markets
Austin
10mo
4
18
Comparing Superforecasting and the Intelligence Community Prediction Market
LuisEUrtubey
8mo
0
38
Summary and Takeaways: Hanson's “Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?”
Lizka
1y
12
6
An attempt to promote prediction markets
Timothy_Liptrot
7mo
3
3
Flagging up a 'prediction market'
Forumite
5mo
1