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alive
11 posts
Cluelessness
2 posts
Indirect long-term effects
Hilary Greaves
115
A practical guide to long-term planning – and suggestions for longtermism
weeatquince
1y
12
19
We’re really bad at guessing the future
Benj Azose
4mo
2
116
Evidence, cluelessness, and the long term - Hilary Greaves
james
2y
85
52
What should we call the other problem of cluelessness?
Owen Cotton-Barratt
1y
22
56
Complex cluelessness as credal fragility
Gregory Lewis
1y
50
46
Doing good while clueless
Milan_Griffes
4y
8
3
Has anyone wrote something using moral cluelessness to "debunk" anti-consequentialist thought experiments?
capybaralet
1y
1
29
What consequences?
Milan_Griffes
5y
22
14
“Just take the expected value” – a possible reply to concerns about cluelessness
Milan_Griffes
5y
31
19
How tractable is cluelessness?
Milan_Griffes
4y
2
4
Heuristics for clueless agents: how to get away with ignoring what matters most in ordinary decision-making
Global Priorities Institute
2y
0
57
What's your prior probability that "good things are good" (for the long-term future)?
Linch
10mo
12
21
Leveraging finance to increase resilience to GCRs
PhilC
10mo
8