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alive
39 posts
Decision theory
Competitive debating
Fanaticism
Infinite ethics
Decision-theoretic uncertainty
Interpersonal comparisons of wellbeing
Normative uncertainty
Michael Huemer
25 posts
Expected value
Altruistic wager
Pascal's mugging
418
EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
Holden Karnofsky
3mo
56
38
Geometric Rationality is Not VNM Rational
Scott Garrabrant
23d
0
20
Respecting your Local Preferences
Scott Garrabrant
24d
0
17
Improving EA with More, Better Debates | Recorded Discussion between Elliot and Emrik
Elliot Temple
28d
2
14
The Least Controversial Application of Geometric Rationality
Scott Garrabrant
25d
0
37
Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things
So8res
2mo
0
3
Fair Collective Efficient Altruism
Jobst Heitzig (vodle.it)
22d
1
95
On infinite ethics
Joe_Carlsmith
10mo
24
46
Fanatical EAs should support very weird projects
Derek Shiller
5mo
42
30
What reason is there NOT to accept Pascal's Wager?
Khai
4mo
80
48
St. Petersburg Demon – a thought experiment that makes me doubt Longtermism
wuschel
7mo
41
15
Notes on "Can you control the past"
So8res
2mo
0
22
Uncorrelated Bets: an easy to understand and very important decision theory consideration, which helps tease out nonobvious but productive criticism of the EA movement
Uncorrelated Returns
4mo
8
28
Thesis Summary and Open Questions: Normative Uncertainty and Information Value
rileyharris
7mo
0
77
Do Brains Contain Many Conscious Subsystems? If So, Should We Act Differently?
Bob Fischer
15d
7
11
Protecting EV calculations against motivated reasoning
freedomandutility
8d
0
30
Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?
tobycrisford
16d
9
57
The Maximum Impact Fund is now the Top Charities Fund
GiveWell
3mo
3
0
SBF, Pascal's Mugging, and a Proposed Solution
Cole Killian
1mo
0
11
A model about the effect of total existential risk on career choice
Jonas Moss
3mo
4
15
Does this solve Pascal's Muggings?
Sanjay
3mo
26
12
EV Maximization for Humans
Sharmake
3mo
0
15
High-risk high-reward philanthropy: applying venture capital concepts to doing good
James Ozden
5mo
2
5
Biting the Bullet on Pascal's Mugging
Matthew Barber
3mo
0
44
Layman’s Summary of Resolving Pascallian Decision Problems with Stochastic Dominance
Ben_West
1y
11
13
My notes on: Why we can’t take expected value estimates literally (even when they’re unbiased)
Vasco Grilo
8mo
0
56
Expected value theory is fanatical, but that's a good thing
HaydenW
2y
20
36
Mundane trouble with EV / utility
Ben Esche
1y
17