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39 posts
Decision theory
Competitive debating
Fanaticism
Infinite ethics
Decision-theoretic uncertainty
Interpersonal comparisons of wellbeing
Normative uncertainty
Michael Huemer
25 posts
Expected value
Altruistic wager
Pascal's mugging
406
EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
Holden Karnofsky
3mo
56
45
Geometric Rationality is Not VNM Rational
Scott Garrabrant
23d
0
23
Respecting your Local Preferences
Scott Garrabrant
24d
0
17
The Least Controversial Application of Geometric Rationality
Scott Garrabrant
25d
0
19
Improving EA with More, Better Debates | Recorded Discussion between Elliot and Emrik
Elliot Temple
28d
2
41
Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things
So8res
2mo
0
17
Notes on "Can you control the past"
So8res
2mo
0
97
On infinite ethics
Joe_Carlsmith
10mo
24
32
What reason is there NOT to accept Pascal's Wager?
Khai
4mo
80
34
Fanatical EAs should support very weird projects
Derek Shiller
5mo
42
41
St. Petersburg Demon – a thought experiment that makes me doubt Longtermism
wuschel
7mo
41
16
Uncorrelated Bets: an easy to understand and very important decision theory consideration, which helps tease out nonobvious but productive criticism of the EA movement
Uncorrelated Returns
4mo
8
31
Thesis Summary and Open Questions: Normative Uncertainty and Information Value
rileyharris
7mo
0
86
A full syllabus on longtermism
jtm
1y
13
92
Do Brains Contain Many Conscious Subsystems? If So, Should We Act Differently?
Bob Fischer
15d
7
31
Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?
tobycrisford
16d
9
8
Protecting EV calculations against motivated reasoning
freedomandutility
8d
0
66
The Maximum Impact Fund is now the Top Charities Fund
GiveWell
3mo
3
14
Does this solve Pascal's Muggings?
Sanjay
3mo
26
13
EV Maximization for Humans
Sharmake
3mo
0
12
High-risk high-reward philanthropy: applying venture capital concepts to doing good
James Ozden
5mo
2
56
Layman’s Summary of Resolving Pascallian Decision Problems with Stochastic Dominance
Ben_West
1y
11
17
My notes on: Why we can’t take expected value estimates literally (even when they’re unbiased)
Vasco Grilo
8mo
0
6
A model about the effect of total existential risk on career choice
Jonas Moss
3mo
4
51
Expected value theory is fanatical, but that's a good thing
HaydenW
2y
20
31
Mundane trouble with EV / utility
Ben Esche
1y
17
4
Biting the Bullet on Pascal's Mugging
Matthew Barber
3mo
0
16
A General Treatment of the Moral Value of Information
Hazelfire
1y
0