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meritocratic
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alive
39 posts
Decision theory
Competitive debating
Fanaticism
Infinite ethics
Decision-theoretic uncertainty
Interpersonal comparisons of wellbeing
Normative uncertainty
Michael Huemer
25 posts
Expected value
Altruistic wager
Pascal's mugging
406
EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
Holden Karnofsky
3mo
56
97
On infinite ethics
Joe_Carlsmith
10mo
24
86
A full syllabus on longtermism
jtm
1y
13
51
Can you control the past?
Joe_Carlsmith
1y
21
45
Geometric Rationality is Not VNM Rational
Scott Garrabrant
23d
0
41
Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things
So8res
2mo
0
41
St. Petersburg Demon – a thought experiment that makes me doubt Longtermism
wuschel
7mo
41
34
Fanatical EAs should support very weird projects
Derek Shiller
5mo
42
32
Christian Tarsney on future bias and a possible solution to moral fanaticism
Pablo
1y
6
32
What reason is there NOT to accept Pascal's Wager?
Khai
4mo
80
31
Hayden Wilkinson: Doing good in an infinite, chaotic world
EA Global
2y
1
31
Thesis Summary and Open Questions: Normative Uncertainty and Information Value
rileyharris
7mo
0
26
Debate and Effective Altruism: Friends or Foes?
TenaThau
4y
7
23
Respecting your Local Preferences
Scott Garrabrant
24d
0
92
Do Brains Contain Many Conscious Subsystems? If So, Should We Act Differently?
Bob Fischer
15d
7
66
The Maximum Impact Fund is now the Top Charities Fund
GiveWell
3mo
3
56
Layman’s Summary of Resolving Pascallian Decision Problems with Stochastic Dominance
Ben_West
1y
11
51
Expected value theory is fanatical, but that's a good thing
HaydenW
2y
20
31
Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?
tobycrisford
16d
9
31
Mundane trouble with EV / utility
Ben Esche
1y
17
28
Metaethical Fanaticism (Dialogue)
Lukas_Gloor
2y
10
26
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Defusing the Initial Worry and Steelmanning the Problem
kokotajlod
4y
10
20
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: A Problem for Long-Termism?
kokotajlod
4y
17
17
My notes on: Why we can’t take expected value estimates literally (even when they’re unbiased)
Vasco Grilo
8mo
0
16
A General Treatment of the Moral Value of Information
Hazelfire
1y
0
16
Expected Value
james
2y
1
14
Does this solve Pascal's Muggings?
Sanjay
3mo
26
14
Interview with Tom Chivers: “AI is a plausible existential risk, but it feels as if I’m in Pascal’s mugging”
felix.h
1y
1