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alive
39 posts
Decision theory
Competitive debating
Fanaticism
Infinite ethics
Decision-theoretic uncertainty
Interpersonal comparisons of wellbeing
Normative uncertainty
Michael Huemer
25 posts
Expected value
Altruistic wager
Pascal's mugging
430
EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
Holden Karnofsky
3mo
56
132
A full syllabus on longtermism
jtm
1y
13
93
On infinite ethics
Joe_Carlsmith
10mo
24
58
Fanatical EAs should support very weird projects
Derek Shiller
5mo
42
55
St. Petersburg Demon – a thought experiment that makes me doubt Longtermism
wuschel
7mo
41
35
Hayden Wilkinson: Doing good in an infinite, chaotic world
EA Global
2y
1
35
Can you control the past?
Joe_Carlsmith
1y
21
33
Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things
So8res
2mo
0
32
Debate and Effective Altruism: Friends or Foes?
TenaThau
4y
7
32
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Concluding Arguments
kokotajlod
4y
5
31
Geometric Rationality is Not VNM Rational
Scott Garrabrant
23d
0
28
Uncorrelated Bets: an easy to understand and very important decision theory consideration, which helps tease out nonobvious but productive criticism of the EA movement
Uncorrelated Returns
4mo
8
28
What reason is there NOT to accept Pascal's Wager?
Khai
4mo
80
25
Thesis Summary and Open Questions: Normative Uncertainty and Information Value
rileyharris
7mo
0
62
Do Brains Contain Many Conscious Subsystems? If So, Should We Act Differently?
Bob Fischer
15d
7
61
Expected value theory is fanatical, but that's a good thing
HaydenW
2y
20
48
The Maximum Impact Fund is now the Top Charities Fund
GiveWell
3mo
3
41
Mundane trouble with EV / utility
Ben Esche
1y
17
32
Layman’s Summary of Resolving Pascallian Decision Problems with Stochastic Dominance
Ben_West
1y
11
30
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: Defusing the Initial Worry and Steelmanning the Problem
kokotajlod
4y
10
29
Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?
tobycrisford
16d
9
28
Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities: A Problem for Long-Termism?
kokotajlod
4y
17
22
Metaethical Fanaticism (Dialogue)
Lukas_Gloor
2y
10
18
High-risk high-reward philanthropy: applying venture capital concepts to doing good
James Ozden
5mo
2
18
Interview with Tom Chivers: “AI is a plausible existential risk, but it feels as if I’m in Pascal’s mugging”
felix.h
1y
1
18
Expected Value
james
2y
1
16
Does this solve Pascal's Muggings?
Sanjay
3mo
26
16
A General Treatment of the Moral Value of Information
Hazelfire
1y
0