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alive
43 posts
Cost-effectiveness analysis
GiveWell Change Our Mind Contest
Intervention evaluation
Cost-effectiveness
Distribution of cost-effectiveness
North Korea
Snakebite
17 posts
Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute
Criminal justice reform
Squiggle
Risk assessment
Geomagnetic storms
Natural existential risk
Just Impact
310
Snakebites kill 100,000 people every year, here's what you should know
MathiasKB
7mo
36
221
Effectiveness is a Conjunction of Multipliers
Thomas Kwa
9mo
35
155
The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections
GiveWell
5d
10
137
Announcing the Change Our Mind Contest for critiques of our cost-effectiveness analyses
GiveWell
3mo
4
128
An update on GiveWell’s funding projections
GiveWell
5mo
15
124
A dozen doubts about GiveWell’s numbers
JoelMcGuire
1mo
17
114
Quantifying Uncertainty in GiveWell's GiveDirectly Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Hazelfire
6mo
20
103
Against cash benchmarking for global development RCTs
Rory Fenton
9mo
12
94
Changes to our top charity criteria, and a new giving option
GiveWell
4mo
11
88
Quantifying Uncertainty in GiveWell Cost-Effectiveness Analyses
Hazelfire
1mo
2
84
Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions
NunoSempere
10mo
8
81
Liberty in North Korea, quick cost-effectiveness estimate
MichaelStJules
1y
34
71
GiveWell Misuses Discount Rates
Oscar Delaney
1mo
12
70
Meat Tax: Why Chickens Pay The Price
Animal Ask
9mo
1
149
Announcing Squiggle: Early Access
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
11
77
Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence
Ozzie Gooen
1y
34
63
Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires
NunoSempere
2mo
65
57
Announcing Squigglepy, a Python package for Squiggle
Peter Wildeford
2mo
8
52
$1,000 Squiggle Experimentation Challenge
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
5
44
Our Criminal Justice Reform Program Is Now an Independent Organization: Just Impact
BrownHairedEevee
1y
3
41
Simple estimation examples in Squiggle
NunoSempere
3mo
13
37
Simple comparison polling to create utility functions
NunoSempere
1y
13
23
Adding Quantified Uncertainty to GiveWell's Cost Effectiveness Analysis of the Against Malaria Foundation
Tanae
3mo
6
20
[Squiggle Experimentation Challenge] CEA LEEP Malawi
drwahl
3mo
7
19
Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.
NunoSempere
2mo
0
19
Does Bail Reform Increase Crime?
Dale
2y
1
19
What is estimational programming? Squiggle in context
quinn
4mo
0
13
Building Blocks of Utility Maximization
NunoSempere
1y
3