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alive
43 posts
Cost-effectiveness analysis
GiveWell Change Our Mind Contest
Intervention evaluation
Cost-effectiveness
Distribution of cost-effectiveness
North Korea
Snakebite
17 posts
Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute
Criminal justice reform
Squiggle
Risk assessment
Geomagnetic storms
Natural existential risk
Just Impact
306
Snakebites kill 100,000 people every year, here's what you should know
MathiasKB
7mo
36
225
Effectiveness is a Conjunction of Multipliers
Thomas Kwa
9mo
35
191
The winners of the Change Our Mind Contest—and some reflections
GiveWell
5d
10
152
An update on GiveWell’s funding projections
GiveWell
5mo
15
147
Announcing the Change Our Mind Contest for critiques of our cost-effectiveness analyses
GiveWell
3mo
4
144
Quantifying Uncertainty in GiveWell's GiveDirectly Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Hazelfire
6mo
20
140
A dozen doubts about GiveWell’s numbers
JoelMcGuire
1mo
17
123
Against cash benchmarking for global development RCTs
Rory Fenton
9mo
12
116
Quantifying Uncertainty in GiveWell Cost-Effectiveness Analyses
Hazelfire
1mo
2
104
Changes to our top charity criteria, and a new giving option
GiveWell
4mo
11
103
Liberty in North Korea, quick cost-effectiveness estimate
MichaelStJules
1y
34
98
Five steps for quantifying speculative interventions
NunoSempere
10mo
8
89
GiveWell should fund an SMC replication
Seth Ariel Green
1mo
17
84
Meat Tax: Why Chickens Pay The Price
Animal Ask
9mo
1
145
Announcing Squiggle: Early Access
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
11
97
Prioritization Research for Advancing Wisdom and Intelligence
Ozzie Gooen
1y
34
95
Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires
NunoSempere
2mo
65
77
Announcing Squigglepy, a Python package for Squiggle
Peter Wildeford
2mo
8
70
$1,000 Squiggle Experimentation Challenge
Ozzie Gooen
4mo
5
64
Our Criminal Justice Reform Program Is Now an Independent Organization: Just Impact
BrownHairedEevee
1y
3
61
Simple estimation examples in Squiggle
NunoSempere
3mo
13
53
Simple comparison polling to create utility functions
NunoSempere
1y
13
41
Five slightly more hardcore Squiggle models.
NunoSempere
2mo
0
33
Adding Quantified Uncertainty to GiveWell's Cost Effectiveness Analysis of the Against Malaria Foundation
Tanae
3mo
6
29
Building Blocks of Utility Maximization
NunoSempere
1y
3
25
What is estimational programming? Squiggle in context
quinn
4mo
0
21
Does Bail Reform Increase Crime?
Dale
2y
1
20
[Squiggle Experimentation Challenge] CEA LEEP Malawi
drwahl
3mo
7