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20 posts
Hinge of history
Inside vs. outside view
Time of perils
Philip Tetlock
25 posts
Systemic change
Holden Karnofsky
Value lock-in
Nonprofit governance
SPC framework
Innovations for Poverty Action
Urgent Longtermism
Alternatives to expected value theory
208
Are we living at the most influential time in history?
William_MacAskill
3y
147
191
All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
Holden Karnofsky
1y
46
165
Taboo "Outside View"
kokotajlod
1y
26
162
Thoughts on whether we're living at the most influential time in history
Buck
2y
65
70
Call to Vigilance
Holden Karnofsky
1y
4
61
Biblical advice for people with short AI timelines
Kirsten
1y
23
54
The emerging school of patient longtermism
80000_Hours
2y
11
52
The most important century and the representativeness of EA
Luke Eure
1y
10
40
How to make the best of the most important century?
Holden Karnofsky
1y
5
22
The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
18
Best time-travel intervention?
abramdemski
2y
3
18
Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters
Evan_Gaensbauer
4y
4
16
Phil Trammell: Philanthropy timing and the hinge of history
EA Global
2y
1
14
The Most Important Century Is Not Unlikely
Maxwell Tabarrok
4mo
0
116
Introducing the EA Good Governance Project
Grayden
2mo
4
90
Odds of recovering values after collapse?
Will Aldred
4mo
13
87
Summary of my academic paper “Effective Altruism and Systemic Change”
antonin_broi
3y
5
78
[Link Post] If We Don’t End Factory Farming Soon, It Might Be Here Forever.
BrianK
13d
13
72
Don't leave your fingerprints on the future
So8res
2mo
4
60
New blog: Cold Takes
Holden Karnofsky
1y
17
60
The Wicked Problem Experience
Holden Karnofsky
9mo
9
43
The Most Important Century: The Animation
Writer
4mo
8
38
Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces
Holden Karnofsky
1y
176
35
Effective altruists love systemic change
Robert_Wiblin
7y
0
33
Complexity and the Search for Leverage
Naryan
1y
9
27
Weak point in "most important century": lock-in
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
18
Hi, I'm Holden Karnofsky. AMA about jobs at Open Philanthropy
Holden Karnofsky
4y
119
17
Multilateral Lock-In
Ben Evans
1y
1