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20 posts
Hinge of history
Inside vs. outside view
Time of perils
Philip Tetlock
25 posts
Systemic change
Holden Karnofsky
Value lock-in
Nonprofit governance
SPC framework
Innovations for Poverty Action
Urgent Longtermism
Alternatives to expected value theory
221
All Possible Views About Humanity's Future Are Wild
Holden Karnofsky
1y
46
196
Thoughts on whether we're living at the most influential time in history
Buck
2y
65
185
Taboo "Outside View"
kokotajlod
1y
26
178
Are we living at the most influential time in history?
William_MacAskill
3y
147
74
The emerging school of patient longtermism
80000_Hours
2y
11
68
Call to Vigilance
Holden Karnofsky
1y
4
67
Biblical advice for people with short AI timelines
Kirsten
1y
23
56
How to make the best of the most important century?
Holden Karnofsky
1y
5
30
The most important century and the representativeness of EA
Luke Eure
1y
10
28
Phil Trammell: Philanthropy timing and the hinge of history
EA Global
2y
1
26
Best time-travel intervention?
abramdemski
2y
3
20
Ten Commandments for Aspiring Superforecasters
Evan_Gaensbauer
4y
4
16
The Most Important Century: Sequence Introduction
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
13
Philip Tetlock: Fireside chat
EA Global
2y
1
108
New blog: Cold Takes
Holden Karnofsky
1y
17
100
Don't leave your fingerprints on the future
So8res
2mo
4
96
Introducing the EA Good Governance Project
Grayden
2mo
4
90
[Link Post] If We Don’t End Factory Farming Soon, It Might Be Here Forever.
BrianK
13d
13
82
The Wicked Problem Experience
Holden Karnofsky
9mo
9
73
Summary of my academic paper “Effective Altruism and Systemic Change”
antonin_broi
3y
5
58
Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces
Holden Karnofsky
1y
176
57
Weak point in "most important century": lock-in
Holden Karnofsky
1y
0
57
The Most Important Century: The Animation
Writer
4mo
8
39
Effective altruists love systemic change
Robert_Wiblin
7y
0
36
Odds of recovering values after collapse?
Will Aldred
4mo
13
25
Complexity and the Search for Leverage
Naryan
1y
9
23
Multilateral Lock-In
Ben Evans
1y
1
19
H-Day, a case study in coordinated change
EdoArad
8mo
0