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Planning Fallacy
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Analogy
-19
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
33
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
44
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
16
Private Manned Moonbase in the 1990s, Yet Another Planning Fallacy
DavidPlumpton
11y
4
-7
A New Way to Visualize Biases
dtm
2y
16
23
The Outside View isn't magic
Stuart_Armstrong
5y
4