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alive
37 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
6 posts
Planning Fallacy
Analogy
218
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
4
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
33
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
ozziegooen
4y
1
37
I'm going to help you quit Facebook with some science
Elo
4y
11
24
How to make plans?
DonyChristie
3y
4
47
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
59
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
33
Uncertainty
Vaniver
11y
16
26
Making Exceptions to General Rules
Chris_Leong
4y
17
62
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
90
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
50
What Makes My Attempt Special?
Andy_McKenzie
12y
22
30
Examples of Mitigating Assumption Risk
SatvikBeri
5y
14
17
"Backchaining" in Strategy
Davis_Kingsley
4y
17
-19
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
33
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
44
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
16
Private Manned Moonbase in the 1990s, Yet Another Planning Fallacy
DavidPlumpton
11y
4
-7
A New Way to Visualize Biases
dtm
2y
16
23
The Outside View isn't magic
Stuart_Armstrong
5y
4