Go Back
Choose this branch
Choose this branch
meritocratic
regular
democratic
hot
top
alive
43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
218
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
-19
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
4
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
33
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
ozziegooen
4y
1
37
I'm going to help you quit Facebook with some science
Elo
4y
11
33
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
24
How to make plans?
DonyChristie
3y
4
47
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
59
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
33
Uncertainty
Vaniver
11y
16
44
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
26
Making Exceptions to General Rules
Chris_Leong
4y
17
62
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
90
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
39
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
142
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
248
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
50
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
1
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30
107
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
20
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
34
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
55
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
69
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
64
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
51
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
65
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289