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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
226
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
218
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
207
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
98
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
90
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
71
Bias in capital project decision making
jsalvatier
11y
23
62
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
62
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
59
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
58
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
53
Decision Analysis Sequence
Vaniver
11y
6
52
Doing "Nothing"
Voltairina
10y
16
50
What Makes My Attempt Special?
Andy_McKenzie
12y
22
47
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
248
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
142
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
107
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
69
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
65
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289
64
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
55
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
51
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
50
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
39
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
34
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
20
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
1
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30