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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
284
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
206
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
206
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
142
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
101
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
81
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
74
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
63
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
57
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
56
Bias in capital project decision making
jsalvatier
11y
23
48
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
46
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
43
What Makes My Attempt Special?
Andy_McKenzie
12y
22
42
Doing "Nothing"
Voltairina
10y
16
206
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
139
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
124
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
91
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
85
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
63
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
55
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289
54
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
47
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
37
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
27
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
22
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
3
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30