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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
284
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
206
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
8
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
74
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
206
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
81
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
63
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
35
Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Sunny from QAD
3y
15
57
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
101
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
35
Four kinds of problems
jacobjacob
4y
11
21
Abstract Plans Lead to Failure
Chris_Leong
2y
0
142
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
28
Why Planning is Hard: A Multifaceted Model
Ruby
3y
9
37
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
63
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
85
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
206
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
54
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
124
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
27
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
139
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
91
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
22
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
55
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289
47
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
3
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30