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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
12
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
205
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
86
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
186
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
68
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
40
Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Sunny from QAD
3y
15
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
38
Why Planning is Hard: A Multifaceted Model
Ruby
3y
9
55
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
104
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
19
A New Way to Visualize Biases
dtm
2y
16
35
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
119
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
57
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
164
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
53
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
171
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
106
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
118
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
20
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
24
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
45
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289
44
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
5
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30