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alive
37 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
6 posts
Planning Fallacy
Analogy
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
12
In Search of Strategic Clarity
james.lucassen
5mo
1
205
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
86
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
186
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
68
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
40
Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Sunny from QAD
3y
15
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
38
Why Planning is Hard: A Multifaceted Model
Ruby
3y
9
55
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
104
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
31
Four kinds of problems
jacobjacob
4y
11
25
Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
ozziegooen
4y
1
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
19
A New Way to Visualize Biases
dtm
2y
16
19
The Outside View isn't magic
Stuart_Armstrong
5y
4
39
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
28
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
8
Private Manned Moonbase in the 1990s, Yet Another Planning Fallacy
DavidPlumpton
11y
4