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37 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
6 posts
Planning Fallacy
Analogy
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
205
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
186
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
104
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
86
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
68
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
55
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
45
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
41
Bias in capital project decision making
jsalvatier
11y
23
40
Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Sunny from QAD
3y
15
38
Why Planning is Hard: A Multifaceted Model
Ruby
3y
9
36
What Makes My Attempt Special?
Andy_McKenzie
12y
22
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
39
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
28
Kahneman's Planning Anecdote
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
8
19
A New Way to Visualize Biases
dtm
2y
16
19
The Outside View isn't magic
Stuart_Armstrong
5y
4
8
Private Manned Moonbase in the 1990s, Yet Another Planning Fallacy
DavidPlumpton
11y
4