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43 posts
Planning & Decision-Making
Planning Fallacy
Time (value of)
Bayesian Decision Theory
Tradeoffs
Analogy
13 posts
Hamming Questions
Value of Information
350
Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
Darmani
1y
34
222
Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
45
205
The correct response to uncertainty is *not* half-speed
AnnaSalamon
6y
44
186
Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves
LoganStrohl
8y
115
115
Chapter 6: The Planning Fallacy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
7y
3
104
How to Measure Anything
lukeprog
9y
52
86
How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
3y
22
72
Counterintuitive Comparative Advantage
Wei_Dai
4y
8
68
Plans are Recursive & Why This is Important
Ruby
3y
11
55
If It’s Worth Doing, It’s Worth Doing With Made-Up Statistics
Scott Alexander
5y
0
45
Harder Choices Matter Less
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
24
41
Bias in capital project decision making
jsalvatier
11y
23
40
Why it feels like everything is a trade-off
Sunny from QAD
3y
15
39
Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
32
171
Crisis of Faith
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
252
164
Privileging the Question
Qiaochu_Yuan
9y
312
119
Double-Dipping in Dunning--Kruger
isovector
4y
31
118
On Doing the Impossible
Eliezer Yudkowsky
14y
38
106
Value of Information: Four Examples
Vaniver
11y
62
57
The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
Vaniver
3y
11
53
The Hamming Question
Raemon
3y
38
45
The Fundamental Question
MBlume
12y
289
44
Chronophone Motivations
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
17
35
Choosing the right dish
Adam Zerner
1mo
7
24
VOI is Only Nonnegative When Information is Uncorrelated With Future Action
Diffractor
4y
2
20
Why are the people who could be doing safety research, but aren’t, doing something else?
Adam Scholl
3y
19
5
How does an infovore manage information overload?
haig
13y
30